Hi YXI friends,

We currently offer TSLA, BTC, AAPL, and TLT daily quant signals in this service. We combine these signals with our other methodologies in analysing SPY, QQQ, TLT, BTC and Mag-7 in the full daily macro note sent before the New York market open.

I plan to keep TSLA free for everyone, everyday. Please share the newsletter with friends and colleagues who may find it helpful for reference.

Premium subscribers can enjoy daily access to BTC, AAPL, and TLT signals (plus other Mag-7 names in the future).

We employ individual proprietary quantitative models for each name we cover to outperform the Buy-and-Hold strategy. The model examines the various macro drivers and asset specific factors against an asset’s historical performances, taking positions when the conditions are favourable and moving to cash when they aren’t. It is a long-only strategy without leverage.

The model does not try to beat the S&P 500 or produce absolute returns. Moreover, the model does not know when earnings or news events are. Investors must exercise their own judgements accordingly.

In interpreting the signal, there is no “minimum” holding period when the signal shows 1 (“position on”). The model strategy simply holds the asset until the signal turns to 0. This could be after 1 day, 1 week, or longer.

(Note that each model is being improved over time, so the below success rates and back-test results are subject to change. The model outputs are not financial advice and there is no guarantee of future performance.)

Table of Contents

• 1. TSLA

• 2. BTC

• 3. AAPL

• 4. TLT

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is strictly educational. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

1. TSLA

YXI TSLA Model Daily Signal

Today, there was a change in the signal. Looking at my back test, the current model would NOT have predicted Trump 90-day tariff pause on April 9, therefore missing that large 22% one-day gain.

Why do I mention this? Knowing the model’s limitations is just as important as knowing its advantages. Investors should probably also not beat themselves up for not foreseeing the precise timing of the White House’s policy reversal on any given day.

For Tesla, our backtests show that buying when the signal is 1 and moving to cash when it is 0 could improve daily success rates by roughly 3% versus “Buy and Hold.” The strategy also exhibits less than half the maximum drawdown. (These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

2. BTC

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